The Unexpected Indictment

This page accompanies a "Weekly Zoom Social", held Sunday, April 16, 2023.

Keynote Presentation

Here you will find The Unexpected Indictment Keynote slides and presenter's notes as a [PDF].

Discussion at end

The Fortune Cookie opened at the end read: "Only in mathematics (and formal logic) are proofs absolutely certain."

JM: I recommend reading all the definitions of "Expect".

JM: I recommend reading Martin's chapter/column the for historical context he provided. For example, the origins of it with the announcement of a Civil Air Defense drill in UK, in 1948.

The illustrations in the book are those from Mathematical Games in SciAm. The artist was Joe Kaufman.

The discussion diverged to current news about AI, and the implications. Perhaps a good subject for a future G4G Weekender discussion! Wait, is Sunday the first day of the week, or the last? LOL

Robert Orndorff (in chat). ChatGPT/Bing: "I’m sorry but I cannot provide a numerical likelihood that you will be indicted if someone says that your indictment tomorrow is unexpected. The word “unexpected” does not provide any information about the probability of an event happening or not happening 1. It only means that the event was not anticipated or predicted."

Robert Orndorff: Here's the ChatGPT 'kill vs insult' post: [LINK]

More from the discussion will be added as we recollect. JM 4/16/23.

Unexpected Hanging...

ICYMI, Martin Gardner wrote about the Unexpected Hanging paradox.

References

A link appears with each reference, to the source.

A Langford Quilt was hung in the background during my talk. [LINK]

• Unexpected Hanging Paradox [WIKI]
• MAGA “prophet” Julie Green revealed that God told her that everyone who indicts Trump will get indicted themselves. [TWITTER]
• Schrödinger's Cat [WIKI]
• Liar's paradox (Who's a liar? Some guy ALWAYS Lie, etc) See Also links in the Wiki article. [WIKI]
• Russell Paradox, Barber Paradox - shaves all who do not shave themselves... [null LINK]
• Prisoner's dilemma [WIKI]
• Uncertainty principle [WIKI]
• Hobbesian Trap [WIKI]
• Catch-22 [WIKI]
• A priori and a posteriori [WIKI]

POORLY ANNOTATED FOOTNOTES

• Alice's unexpected adventure: artist accidentally inhales tiny sculpture. Dr. Willard Wigan MBE, a renowned micro-sculptor, is known for his astonishingly tiny sculptures that fit comfortably within the eye of a needle. In a recent video profile, Wigan shares a fascinating story about the time he was recreating the Mad Hatter's tea party from the beloved classic Alice in Wonderland. [LINK]
• Video of Willard, set to start at 2 minutes, where he talks about inhaling Alice. [YOU TUBE]
• What color is my Hat? (Elwin B) The "Hat Problem" has deep and unexpected connections to coding theory, an active area of mathematical research with broad applications in telecommunications and computer science. [NYT]
• For Trump, Everything was going to happen in Two Weeks.. google that! A new healthcare plan, Infrastructure, Taxes, Paris Accord, all coming in Two weeks? [YOU TUBE]
• Trump indictment legal FAQs (Politico) [LINK]
• Guessing the Color of Your Hat, David Surowski [PDF]
• Statement made about Martin Gardner on Wikipedia, regarding the "Barber Paradox" [WIKI:Talk]
• Says MG incorrectly attributed it to Bertrand Russell. I don't see that anywhere. ?? [WIKI]
• Physicists Created 'Slits in Time' and Discovered 'Unexpected Physics' in Experiment Scientists have achieved a “temporal analogue” to the famous double-slit experiment that could lead to new optical technologies. [LINK]
• Three Unexpected Ways to Eat Leftover Easter Eggs. Prevent egg-based monotony with one of these unexpected egg consumption methods. (Nah.) [LINK]